Adan Freire Da Silva vs Lars Johann Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Silva has a slight edge in second serve points, winning 48.01% compared to Johann's 45.65%. Could this impact the match outcome? It certainly might, as there's a strong correlation with match predictions.
• When it comes to returning points on second serves, Silva shows a slight advantage with 49.57% over Johann's 48.61%.
• However, Johann has a higher success rate in returning first serves, with 28.57% compared to Silva's 26.69%.
• Under pressure, Silva excels, saving 52.38% of breakpoints, significantly higher than Johann's 40% save rate.
• In terms of overall performance, Silva has a yearly win rate of 60.94%, whereas Johann's is 55.56%.
• Silva excels on hard surfaces with a 61% win rate, while Johann's best surface is clay, with a 46% win rate.
• Both players have primarily competed in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, with Silva performing slightly better.
• Silva has faced lower-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 268.64, as opposed to Johann's tougher competition with an average opponent rank of 99.33.
• Johann shows resilience in deciding sets, winning 67% of them in the last 12 months, surpassing Silva's 57% success rate.
• In crucial breakpoint situations, Johann is more efficient, converting 38.46% compared to Silva's 34.88%.

Editorial Prediction (August 6, 2025, UTC):

As Silva enters this match, their stronger second serve performance provides a potential edge over Johann. This statistical advantage has proven crucial in past matches, making Silva slightly more likely to control rallies that originate from their serve.

However, a look at return games shows a mixed picture. While Silva is marginally better at returning second serves, Johann's prowess in dealing with first serves stands out. This balance could make the match competitive, giving Johann potential opportunities to break Silva's serve.

Johann's ability to excel under pressure in past matches, especially in deciding sets, indicates a knack for handling high-stakes situations. Although Silva is generally better at saving breakpoints, Johann's higher breakpoint conversion rate can be a significant factor in critical junctures.

Overall, based solely on past performance metrics and trends, Silva's consistent form and surface adaptability could provide enough of an edge. However, Johann's past success against stronger opponents and their strength in deciding sets makes this a closely contested matchup.

Based on the comparative analysis, Silva appears slightly more likely to secure the win, given their consistency across various metrics and surfaces.